NY-23: Bad News For The GOP, Good News For Conservatives

In a third poll in the NY-23 Congressional race, Doug Hoffman now leads both the GOP (and RNC's anointed) Dede Scozafava as well as the Democratic candidate Bill Owens...

Washington - A poll released today by the Club for Growth shows Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman surging into the lead in the special election in New York's 23rd congressional district to replace John McHugh, the former congressman who recently became Secretary of the Army.

The poll of 300 likely voters, conducted October 24-25, 2009, shows Conservative Doug Hoffman at 31.3%, Democrat Bill Owens at 27.0%, Republican Dede Scozzafava at 19.7%, and 22% undecided. The poll's margin of error is +/- 5.66%. No information was provided about any of the candidates prior to the ballot question.

This is the third poll done for the Club for Growth in the NY-23 special election, and Doug Hoffman is the only candidate to show an increase in his support levels in each successive poll. The momentum in the race is clearly with Hoffman.

"Hoffman now has a wide lead among both Republicans and Independents, while Owens has a wide lead among Democrats. Dede Scozzafava's support continues to collapse, making this essentially a two-candidate race between Hoffman and Owens in the final week," concluded Basswood Research's pollster Jon Lerner, who conducted the poll for the Club.

...this is very good news for conservatives as well as America. On the other hand, it's very bad news for the GOP in general and RINO's in particular. They are, if Mr. Hoffman wins next week, on notice that their conservative constituents will not tolerate them much longer.

NY-23, Palin Is Right To Back Hoffman

Sarah Palin has chosen to back Doug Hoffman, the Conservative Party candidate for the 23rd District Congressional seat for New York. On her facebook.com page, her statement reads,

The votes of every member of Congress affect every American, so it’s important for all of us to pay attention to this important Congressional campaign in upstate New York. I am very pleased to announce my support for Doug Hoffman in his fight to be the next Representative from New York’s 23rd Congressional district. It’s my honor to endorse Doug and to do what I can to help him win, including having my political action committee, SarahPAC, donate to his campaign the maximum contribution allowed by law.

Our nation is at a crossroads, and this is once again a “time for choosing.”

The local Republican Party in the NY-23 district has made a serious miscalculation here by nominating a RINO. The RNC doubled down on that mistake by throwing their weight behind the wrong candidate. As Melissa Clouthier said in her blog on pajamasmedia.com,

The Republican establishment made another miscalculation last year. They underestimated the resolve and force of the tea party movement. These folks are ticked. They are angrier at the Republican establishment than they are at President Obama and his Marxist minions.

One recent poll's findings were that 73% of the "base" is pissed at the "elite" leadership. A leadership that has made the mistake of thinking that running a moderate or RINO will win over moderate or independent voters. NOT, that's why Obama won last fall. His bait-and-switch, snookered the independent voters who are now as disenchanted with his unrestricted/undisciplined spending. The RNC has miscalculated the anger of the base and that of the "Tea Partiers" completely.

So the Republicans have seemed as stunned with the tea partiers as the tea partiers are stunned at their party. The grassroots folks have had it. They’re tired of being disrespected. They’re tired of being told to pipe down and go along to get along when the candidates the party picks stink and then lose.

Me? I've come to the conclusion that the leadership at the RNC hasn't a clue what the base wants, and moreover just doesn't care. That's the reason why the Tea Party has gained immense popularity. There is more than a small kernel there for the establishment of a new party, if the RNC and the leadership continues to ignore the desires of the base of this party.