The very same polarization now holds true for Obama, the fresh fellow from the old Chicago Democratic machine who was supposed to bring hope and change to a nation tired of divisive politics and the harsh partisan tone of Washington. Fully 83% of Democrats approve of him, but only 14% of Republicans do. Among independents, who provided the crucial winning boost for the Democratic ticket in November 2008, Obama's support has melted to 42% today, in large part over immense spending and deficit concerns.That's a fairly accurate showing of just how unpopular Mr. Obama's agenda for this year has been with voters. Additionally, it goes to show WHY Democratic Congressmen in marginal districts have begun to show great concern for their own poll numbers heading into next years campaign season.
If Congress is successful in passing the very unpopular government seizure of health care, as well as the measures for "Cap & Trade" many of the Blue Dog Dem's face defeat. Additionally, the GOP (or Tea Party Movement) may make considerable gains. Especially if the unemployment rate continues to rise (despite temporary seasonal decreaces due to the holiday shopping season). My prediction of Dem losses of 60-100 seats next fall I believe is accurate as well as the loss of as many as 16 seats in the US Senate. We will I believe see GOP/Tea Party gains in various state legislatures as well. However, this doesn't necessarily bode well for the GOP in 2012, as recent history has shown that the GOP leadership seems to have forgotten what the party stands for (out of control spending in 2002-2006). If they have learned the lesson of this past decade...it will be well for them, but if the GOP returns to "Dem Lite", then they will again lose seats in 2012.