The legislative standoff in the Senate increased the odds the Obama administration will resort to "Plan B," the parliamentary maneuver known as reconciliation. Sen. Mike Crapo, R-Idaho, told The Hill last week that the end game for health care reform in the Senate will take one of two paths. Reid either will drop the public option or he'll have to try to invoke reconciliation. "If they do move to reconciliation," Crapo said, "I do think they actually have a very good chance of passing that."In my opinion if the Democrats do this and force through this bill, they will then have to raise taxes to pay for it, because of the very serious under estimation of costs that are inherent to any social program enacted in this country over the past 70 years. See Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and S-Chip.
All of these programs have exceeded their initial cost estimates in a nearly geometric progression. The blow-back from the heavy taxation that will be required to pay for this blatant seizure of the health care industry will, I believe, guarantee that Democrats will be voted out of office next fall in historic numbers.